Abstract
Several mRNA vaccines are used on the population in the U.S. I started predicting the dangers of mRNA vaccines before March 2021 and update my findings periodically. My prior model study enabled me to identify many flaws in clinical trials, side-effect evaluation methods and mechanism studies, and I also considered consistent failure in predicting drug side effects in the past and systematic failure of FDA in keeping out dangerous drugs from market. I found that the risks of vaccination cannot be determined by experiments alone and must be determined by using a combination of methods. By studying mRNA expression dynamics and kinetics, I predict that vaccination with mRNA vaccines may increase cancer risks, multiple organ failure risks, earlier death risks, genome alteration speeds by one or more mechanisms, alter the normal selection process for viral evolution resulting in more virulent viruses, and aggravate chronic diseases or cause healed diseases to relapse. Two root problems are practical inability to control expression sites and severe adverse reactions from repeated vaccination. Based on mRNA bio-distribution, the mRNA mainly strikes the liver and other vital organs, and poses grave dangers to persons whose vascular functional reserves are relatively small, or whose vascular systems are temporarily burdened by other causes such as viral infections or life activities. If an mRNA vaccine is administered on a pregnant woman by second or booster shots, spike protein synthesis in fetus brain disrupts the highly regulated protein synthesis processes, resulting in potential brain damages. In less than a year, most of my early predicted damages are being materialized or are on the track to hit the population. In this update, I present a benefits-and-risks map to show how the number of deaths caused by mRNA vaccines is grossly underestimated and why claimed benefits like 95% effectiveness rate and 90% death rate reduction are meaningless and misleading.
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Copyright© 2022
Wu Jianqing.
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Competing interests None. The author writes books on this subject after all hypotheses were disclosed on March 17, 2021. The book(s) expand or elaborate what has been proposed in the earliest posed article. As such, there is no incentive to make one finding over another. In addition, all cited data come from published articles by other researchers, the author cannot influence any aspects of those data. The analytic method is a matter for public scrutiny.
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Introduction
When this first drat was posed on open science servers, there was little direct evidence on the adverse effects of mRNA vaccines. The primary supporting evidence is mRNA vaccines adverse reactions reported in the CDC VAER database To see the flaws in the research model for studying latent effects, it is necessary to review personal injury case reports for asbestos, Dichloro-diphenyl-trichloroethane (DDT), Diethylstilbestrol (DES), lead paints, and prescription drugs. Lead has hurt humans for the longest time It took three decades to a century, with the longest time being thousands of years to finally determine latent harmful effects of dangerous products and drugs. DES mimics a female hormone and there is no plausible mechanism to predict its severe adverse impacts: a few DES pills could ruin a female user, her daughter and the babes of the daughter. The inability to find latent side effects is due to the extreme complexity of the human body or life. I found that latent side effects are always concealed by the massive organ reserves Considering all of the reasons stated above, true risks of mRNA vaccines cannot be based on clinical trial data and nor findings of experiment-based research data. Their risks must be assessed by non-experimental methods such as theoretical model with experimental data being used as model parameters. The first report of the successful use of in vitro transcribed (IVT) mRNA in animals was published in 1990. Up until 2020, biotech companies had poor results testing mRNA drugs for cardiovascular, metabolic and renal diseases, cancer, and rare diseases, with most findings that the side-effects of mRNA insertion were too serious. mRNA vaccines for human use have been developed and tested for the diseases rabies, Zika, cytomegalovirus, and influenza, but these mRNA vaccines have not been licensed for use The vaccination method does not comport with the normal disease process in evolution, but introduces foreign mRNA into cells where the mRNA produces proteins. There are many potential risks that have not been fully studied. Concern with severe adverse reactions of mRNA vaccines is reflected in the history of vaccine development I question the very basic logic of using mRNA vaccines. The purpose of using vaccines is to accept mild adverse reactions in exchange for immunity or diminished severity of a future infection. However, vaccination with mRNA is like accepting strong adverse reactions in exchange for reduced severity of future infection, which may be very weak among at least 80% the population I have examined original reports from vaccine report database for mRNA vaccines Those who have reported their symptoms must have experienced sufficiently severe adverse reactions. Severe symptoms are often reflected in descriptions and a large number of death cases. In addition, I also read from web blogs about personal experiences: some vaccine recipients have felt various problems for many days. In all those severe cases, I must assume that the vaccines have temporarily depressed their organ functions to nearly disability levels. For those who must be hospitalized, at least one vital organ function might fall to near the thresholds of death or disability. From my extensive observations, I noted that a large number of strong adverse reactions cannot be fully recovered. I show that the symptom-based causation approach is deeply flawed. The acceptance of symptoms-based causation model in medicine was inevitable before the large organ functional reserves and toxins’ working mechanisms were discovered. Without understanding the roles of organ functional reserves, one would naturally assume that any side effects must appear shortly after an exposure in a manner like “seeing symptoms after exposure”. That is the most probable reason that lead was able to hurt mankind for thousands of years. This flawed approach has dominated all medicine systems for the entire human history, but has been refuted by our model based on post-1980 research discoveries I predict that the mRNA vaccines will increase the risks for all kinds of CNS diseases including autism and mental disorders. This prediction is made by regarding all reported CNS problems as the manifestation of vaccines impacts on the CNS. This prediction is based on two propositions: rejecting symptom-based causation approach and disregarding distinctive symptoms. Massive organ surplus functions and the slowness in delivering latent side effects further impair the ability to find vaccines’ long-term side effects. Those two problems are further complicated by a large number of lifestyle and activities factors. The massive number of reported mRNA symptoms indicate that mRNA’s effects are both systemic and non- distinctive. Thus, a sound analysis should not be limited by known symptoms determined by flawed disease classifications. The elevated high incidence of Bell's palsy implies the possibility that mRNA vaccines are able to damage visual nerves, sensory nerves, and any part of the brain. The large number of non-distinctive vaccine symptoms reported in the CDC VAER database or web blogs cannot be “written off” as having nothing to do with vaccines. The prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in children in the U.S. is about three (3) times of the median in most nations Another big problem arises from interactions between vaccines, COVID-19 disease, and other diseases. This problem arises when vaccination is conducted during an active pandemic. A person has a maximum vascular functional capacity, but could survive with only 40% of the maximum, and still survive even at 30% of the maximum The massive differences in personal vascular systems imply that conclusions from a clinical study cannot be applied to any of real persons. The risk of vaccines on each person must be addressed by focusing on the person’s condition. Each of organ’s functions is maintained by biological resources such as enzymes, DNA molecules, cells, and tissues, etc. A person can live without noticeable problems even if biological resources in support of vital functions have been reduced from 100 to 1.5 on a relative scale. However, the person will experience health problems if any other illnesses, toxic substances, environmental effects, or medical treatments further reduce the biological resources to less than 1 or what is required for maintaining life. No experimental study is able to determine how vaccines, drugs and natural infections consume biological resources in clinics, and the precise manner in which vaccine adverse effects superimpose on the effects of other diseases or toxic substances’ effects. This problem cannot be investigated by a population trial but must be done by theoretical modeling for the person. If a person receives vaccine injection during the latent period of a unknown SARS-Cov- 2 infection, the vaccine's adverse reaction and COVID-19 disease process will jointly burden all organ functions, particularly the heart function. The worse problem can happen when the peak of vaccine-induced cytokine storm and the perk of COVID-19 cytokine storm happen to overlap, as shown in It is reported that, Aix-Marseille University Faculty, Dr. Hervé Seligmann and engineer Haim Yativ, claim that Pfizer's shot causes "mortality hundreds of times greater in young people compared to mortality from coronavirus without the vaccine, and dozens of times more in the elderly, when the documented mortality from coronavirus is in the vicinity of the vaccine dose, thus adding greater mortality from heart attack, stroke, etc." Heart seems to be the primary target organ injured by mRNA vaccines In addition, noted symptoms, erythema multiforme, a form of allergic skin reaction, glomerulonephritis or kidney inflammation, and nephrotic syndrome The old argument that mRNA vaccine cannot alter cell genetics is not relevant to cancer development speed. Nearly all prior predictions -- in the number hundreds to thousands of drugs and chemicals -- were finally proved to be wrong. The repeated failure implies that wrong results are not isolated incidents, but are due to systematic biases of symptom-based research method, and the poor accuracy of population research model. When a model could not explain so many risk and interference factors, the prediction by using such model is unreliable. The multiple factors model indicates that human body is so complex that many aspects of the body cannot be represented by mathematical models, descriptive models, physical systems, etc. Vaccines’ adverse effects through immune overload must be re-investigated in light of the flaws in the research model. Conclusions from population studies must be questioned or even rejected. Their true impacts can be predicted by examining their impacts on the immune cell population and their effects on the vascular system. It is known that B cells are antigens- specific. Thus, generation of excessive B cells (thus a higher plasma concentration) by repeated vaccination must alter this balance. The importance of this balance cannot be appreciated unless we focus on its long-term effects. Vaccination must cause excessive B cells population OR insufficient B cells population for any given disease pathogen. Excessive B cells level must raise systemic blood pressure. By looking at both two limits, there must be an optimum point. I must say that excessive acquired immune responses are not good (even though there are instances that a specific immune response may produce incidental benefits). The existence of those limits are similar to stress hormones and female hormones (as found in DES injury cases). An excessive number of immune cells in blood is the primary cause of lung tissue damage Past successful vaccinations become incentive to seek vaccines for every infection disease. However, it was suggested in a 2015 research article that vaccination can select for higher virulence What makes the situation worse is a well known observation that viral infectious power can be increased by variants There is a subtle reason to pay attention to genetic mutation which could be caused by mRNA vaccines. Genetic mutation is a very popular natural phenomenon. However, newly created genetic materials in species are controlled by the rule set in evolution. Most of altered genetic materials will disappear upon death of the host. When imperfect vaccines are not available, people must seek more natural measures for survival. There are ample measures Attempts to cure diseases by directly interfering with human biological processes have not achieved real success mRNA is very unstable and thus requires strict storage and transportation condition. Any stability problems cannot be tolerated for mRNA vaccines. When an mRNA vaccine is in mass production, it would be difficult to maintain required quality Since mRNA can be degraded by enzymes in blood and tissue, mRNA molecules must be protected by suitable means so that they will not be broken down during their trafficking after injection After intramuscular injection is done, the systemic trafficking of mRNA is detected. The mRNA are being destroyed during circulation. A large number of studies investigated the cellular entry of nucleic acids of various types of DNA and RNA The systemic distribution and expression of mRNA in different parts of the body could generate systemic cytokines, complement activation, unpredictable or undesirable effects or immune response. Among all studies reflected in the large reviews A much worst problem is that after a coating specification has been designed for a batch of Mrna vaccine, the coatings cannot be good for all people. The coating or other delivery systems cannot have the magic effects of overcoming all influence factors that must differ from person to person ( The risk of COVID-19 mRNA are much bigger than other vaccines because of its smaller sizes. The mRNA is just a sub-unit for encoding the spike protein. The SARS-CoV-2 genome is composed of approximately 30,000 nucleotides, which encodes four structural proteins include spike (S) protein, envelope (E) protein, membrane (M) protein, and nucleocapsid (N) protein Since the start of administrating mRNA vaccines in the U.S. population, recently published articles Based on literature, the consensus is that reverse transcription cannot happen. No one can guarantee that reversed transcription from RNA to DNA will never happen because such a prediction is based on an unrealistic and imagined model, which leaves out thousands of factors from the equation. No one can rule out special conditions which may be created by other substances or another disease agents such as HIV or other retrovirus. It is known that DNA vaccines carry a potential risk of integration into the host genome, which may result in insertional mutation. mRNA could require more steps to achieve it. Once the vaccine mRNA is delivered to the cytosol, its pharmacology is governed by the same complex cellular mechanisms that regulate the stability and translation of endogenous mRNA. I note that many articles argued that mRNA cannot get into cell nuclei. Those predictions are based on abstract models or very limited data. In the real world, persons may carry different disease pathogens that can produce required enzymes and building materials to produce new disease agents or biological systems which can insert a newly created DNA segments into an existing viral genes, body cell DNA chain, bacteria gene which happen to exist in the body, etc. Outcomes from limited animal studies cannot be extended to billions of humans, who can never be under control or may carry various viruses, bacteria, insects, and synthetic compounds. The perceived transportation barrier to cell nuclei is not an absolute one. To see how unreliable past predictions can be, I urge readers to consider how the genetically modified organism (GMO) raises cancer risks. There is no direct basis to predict that GMO can raise cancer risks for humans. Researchers could not think about omega 6/3 fatty acids ratio before they conducted genetic modification. When cheap GMO feeds with high omega 6/3 fatty acids ratio are widely available, they replaces grass feeds. It is this farming practice that alters omega 6/3 fatty acids ratio in animal meats. It is even more unpredictable that, when most domestic animals such as pigs, chicken, cows, etc. are feed with GMO feeds, this farming practice slowly alters omega 6/3 fatty acids ratio in the Western diet, which ultimately affects human health Another problem, which is a big one, is that vaccine-triggered protein synthesis must infringe normal protein synthesis. The two processes compete for same amino acids as building materials, catalyst enzyme, energy, space, etc. The expected mechanisms for interfering normal protein synthesis include: Compete for ribosomal RNA (rRNA), and transfer RNA (tRNA). The synthesis of mRNA, tRNA, and rRNA is accomplished by an enzyme called RNA polymerase. The presence of spite protein mRNA is expected to have an effect like a product-feedback. Thus, it would inhibit the synthesis of mRNA for normal protein. If vaccine mRNA is self-amplified to generate more mRNA copies, this amplification process interferes with normal mRNA synthesis because they compete for building blocks for mRNA. Compete for all required enzymes for protein synthesis (e.g., translation) and also compete for the energy which is used to create amino acid chains. For example, spike protein synthesis and normal protein synthesis compete for peptidyl transferase, which is the main enzyme used in translation. The enzyme's activity is to form peptide bonds between adjacent amino acids using tRNAs during translation. The enzyme uses two substrates of which one has the growing peptide chain and the other bears the amino acid that is added to the chain. Compete for space for protein synthesis. Protein synthesis takes place in cytoplasm. When spike protein synthesis takes place, the synthesis must occupy space and reduces space available for synthesis of structural proteins and catalyst proteins. Compete for both non-essential and essential amino acids. Amino acids work like building materials for protein. If there are too many spike protein synthesis sites, their availability for normal protein synthesis is reduced. The impact may be on the cells where spite protein is synthesized and found in remote cells. When a large number of cells are involved in spike-protein synthesis, they are predicted to use up amino acids and thus depress amino acids concentrations in blood. It may cause a temporary amino acid shortage. Altering cell state: whenever a tissue cell has spike protein synthesized, the cell will become a cell for destruction by the immune system. Predicted impacts include reducing mRNA synthesis for normal proteins, using spaces or sites for synthesis of spike protein, using up amino acids for spike protein synthesis, reducing the amount of structural protein and catalyst proteins for cell normal functions, and marking the cell for T cell attacks. Since mRNA can circulate in blood and can enter into any type of cells, the scope of impacts is widespread: the vaccine affects all vital organs including brain, liver, lungs, kidneys, spleen, all nerves, etc. as long as mRNA vaccines can get into organs or tissue cells. This must be true to near all people under all conditions. It is even possible that mRNA triggered protein synthesis may temporarily deplete amino acids and energy, and thus impairs all protein synthesis processes for making vital structural proteins and enzymes. All “safe” prediction is based on deeply flawed reductionist model which is based on unreasonable, unrealistic and clearly flawed assumptions: the tissue has unlimited building materials, slowing down normal protein synthesis will not hurt the host person, and amplifying mRNA is very limited or can be controlled and will not disrupt normal RNA synthesis. No study has proved each of the assumptions. Each assumption must be wrong, unrealistic and grossly inaccurate to the scientists with knowledge and training in basics of chemistry and physics. No long term study has been done to understand their side effects. Even if long-term studies have been done, their findings cannot take into account hundreds to thousands of real variables. One biggest risk is impairment to protein synthesis in the brain and thus mRNA vaccines are particularly harmful to the brain. Establishing proper neuronal connections during brain development and eliciting appropriate responses to environmental stimuli in the adult, requires precisely regulated protein synthesis. Many brain functional mechanisms target mRNA-binding proteins and ribosomal sub-units to regulate protein synthesis initiation. These mechanisms are especially concentrated at synapses, where they act to transform transient electrical signals into lasting functional modifications that are a basis for learning and memory, and misregulated synaptic protein synthesis contributes to several human cognitive changes including addiction, fragile X syndrome, and autism Vaccination of pregnant woman with mRNA vaccines may impair fetal brain development, resulting in future mRNA BABIES. Another even bigger risk is mRNA vaccine may irreversibly disrupt vital protein synthesis function. This risk may be seen on a person, whose protein synthesis function is nearly a limited factor due to aging, poor health, preexisting cellular damages, chronic diseases, and inhibitory effects of toxic substances. The mRNA cytokine storm can cause increased stress on all vital organs. By disrupting the normal protein synthesis, the vaccination results in depletion of biological resources (e.g., enzymes, proteins, energy and all other required compounds), which are necessary for sustaining life and restoring organ functions and repairing damages. Those two adverse effects put affected organs or parts in a condition that is unable to resolve vaccine-induced inflammation and damages. This risk is underscored by another known fact: a diseased state is nearly always persistent. For example, obesity cannot be easily corrected; immune responses have lasting memory role Clinical trials and controlled studies are good at ascertaining strong effects of any drug or treatment, but cannot detect slowly-delivered long-term effects of anything due to a large number of interference factors. Based on observed case outcomes discussed above However, huge vital functional capacities In a natural disease course, immunization is acquired after getting a first infection of a particular disease agent. The first infection leaves immunological memory so that when the person is exposed to the same disease agent, the immune response will be much faster and efficient. However, in all natural infection processes, all expected future exposures are always limited to a very limited number of seed pathogens: perhaps one, several, thousands or millions in the worst situation. It can never be in the number like 109 to 1011 from a shot. We also know a similar reason in managing allergic reactions: after a person has become sensitive to a compound, exposure to the compound even at moderate amount must be avoided. Both those two observations tell that after the immune system has been sensitized, exposure to a large number of antigens is a forbidden thing. This rule is set in evolution. The rationale of avoidance of severe sequential exposures can be shown in I also predict that, if booster shot’s cytokine peak and COVID-19-induced peek happen to superimpose, they can dramatically raise blood pressure or burden the kidneys. The total number of mRNA copies delivered in a vaccine shot can be computed. The vaccine cytokine storm is a front-peaked curve while the COVID-19 cytokine storm has a progressively rising curve. The total number and mass of SARS-Cov-2 virions in a real infection can be determined in ballpark In predicting the adverse effects of mRNA vaccines, I must consider past failures in predicting latent side effects for asbestos, lead paint, DES, GMO, Roundup and removed drugs because their failures are rooted in the same model flaws. In each instance, no or little evidence existed for making prediction of future adverse health effects, but final outcomes, which often appeared decades later, are catastrophic to public health. mRNA vaccines have far more bad signs for predicting their bad outcomes. Those signs include well known technical difficulties, poor stability, uncontrollable uptake, off-target expression, interference with normal protein synthesis, and the overwhelming number of reported side reactions. Its central mechanisms are to disrupt or interfere with the vital cell machinery for maintaining life, they are predicted to be more vicious than the virus; and current prediction by other researchers is largely based on abstract model or oversimplified animal models with thousands of real variables being ignored. By using our multiple factors disease causes model and our kinetic analysis, it is absolutely clear that booster shots are not a proper measure for the population.
Discussion
mRNA vaccines central injury mechanisms are (1) inflammation caused by spike protein synthesized mainly by erratic mRNA in any suitable cells in any tissue, (2) disrupting normal protein synthesis in the affected cells and tissues, (3) altering the immune system, and interfering with viral evolution. Many additional adverse effects may be derived from any of those combination. Other potential effects of inactive ingredients are not explored but cannot be precluded. mRNA vaccines must cause acute personal injuries if any of the (1) to (3) mechanisms add more burden than what the major organs can bear, as in vulnerable people and people with limited organ functional reserves. The alteration of immune system may be against the bounds set in evolution and may excessively increase the number of immune cells in the body. Those mechanisms also cause latent personal injuries if their impacts are not enough to consume organs functional reserves, but wear out a small portion of the vital functional reserves by each vaccine injection. Due to the massive surplus functional capacity in healthy persons, their latent side effects will not felt, and nor detected. However, subtle adverse effects may be done to cells and tissues. The biggest damage may be caused by dramatically raised blood flow resistance, and at the same time disrupted normal protein synthesis for maintaining organ s functions. It is particularly danger to administer the second and additional booster shots because they must generate unreasonable cytokine storms, elevated immune cells count, and more severely disrupted normal protein synthesis. This triple combination must be deadly to a good number of people and their danger can be further aggravated by environmental factors (e.g., temperature) and mistreatment. Since the locations of damages are unpredictable, mRNA vaccines must cause an unlimited number of non-distinctive side effects. The big vaccine cytokine storm will become the primary or contributory cause of death in all kinds of scenarios. Within the cytokine striking time window, all deaths should be attributed to the vaccines even if other factors might be contributory factors. It is so even if the person dies from fire, flood or an accident because the vaccine can temporarily depress the person s ability to withstand the physical injury. While the cells ability to restore normal protein synthesis or normal immune function is unknown, diseased state s persistence in various situations tend to support my suspicion that those changes cannot be restored in a short time, or even in the remaining lives of the recipients. Some potential latent injuries may become detectable years to decades later. Vaccine impacts on the CNS seem to be severe because brain tissues could be the sites of erratic mRNA s attacks, and elevated blood pressure must affect the brain as well. Vaccination of pregnant women with mRNA vaccines will pose material risks of creating children with diminished mental capacity or mental diseases. The fourth mechanism is altering viral evolution, due to reduced vigilance for protection, asymptomatic infected people will have higher chances to develop new virulent variants and pass the developed variants out to others. The severity of this impact cannot be accurately determined without conducting long term study and follow up. I predict that mRNA can dramatically increase total death rate among both vulnerable and healthy people. Due to use of symptom-based approach and distortions by superimposing lifestyle and activity factors, the vaccines appear to reduce COVID-19 deaths but transfer the causes of death for most deaths to other causes such as infections, chronic diseases, heart attacks and stroke, or natural causes. The elevated total deaths attributable to mRNA vaccines can be estimated by a long-term study that focuses on cellular damages rather than symptoms. As a whole, the preliminary data, observations, mechanism-based predictions in light of past similar catastrophic personal injuries force me to reach a conclusion that mRNA vaccines are responsible for increased incidences and deaths. Past researches have consistently failed to predict latent side/adverse effects for drugs, chemicals, or appliances. The failure can be traced to the reductionist research model s fundamental limitations. Two main problems are the symptom-based side-effect evaluation method and use of abstract disease mechanisms. Cellular damages by drugs and vaccines can take place soon after exposure while symptoms will show up only after they have consumed the massive organ surplus functions. The appearance of symptoms normally has a lag from several years to seven decades. In addition, the slow-delivering effects of harmful drugs are concealed by the interference effects of a massive number of lifestyle factors. Even if future research model uses cellular damages as the evidence of personal injuries, such a model will be very complex. By following the current research model, one could assume that each health problem is controlled by only one or a few factors. Any prediction by using such a simple model must be inaccurate and unreliable. The establishment of multiple factors disease causes model has refuted the abstract disease mechanisms. Most disease mechanisms cannot explain the effects of a large number of lifestyle factors. Studies have revealed a large number of biological and cellular processes that are run inside cells. While the discovered pathways network is very complex, such a network is abstract and oversimplified because it fails to take into account all influencing factors, their interactions, material transport, compartment effects, biological processes competition, phases and timings of biological processes, chemical environment, physical condition, effect of environmental factors, etc. By focusing on one single pathway, one could theoretically tell how a drug might cure a disease. In reality, such an attempt always ends up with failure for two reasons. First, there is no way to predict how a drug might affect all other pathways in the network. It is impossible to predict the precise impacts of the drug on each of all pathways in the network. Second, realistic pathways network is much more complex than abstract pathways. What is far more important is their reaction rates and their relative speeds. Each pathway is influenced by local material concentration, transportation speeds of all involved compounds, and interference of all materials surrounding them. It is further affected by emotion and environmental factors. Temperature and emotion stimuli may affect different pathways in different ways. What makes prediction even more difficult is the fact that chronic diseases are often caused by only very small imbalances. I have showed elsewhere only a tiny imbalance (1% to 0.01%) in biological process attributes can cause a severe long-term health problem By observing a large number of latent personal injuries, I found four classes of latent personal injuries. The first class is caused by inert substances which can be entrapped in tissues and cells. Representative examples are asbestos, fiberglass, inert films (e.g., perforated polymer film implants), and forever chemicals mRNA risks can be appreciated by considering the role of stress hormone. Releasing stress hormones in the level and frequency anticipated in the fight and flight in nature is beneficial to health, but persistently elevated stress hormones in blood can cause a range of health problems The toxicity of glyphosate was well known and well documented before 2004 Approach used by regulatory authorities such as FDA and EPA is clearly unworkable. The failure to predict DES adverse effects were strikingly similar to the failure in predicting Roundup s adverse effects. Considering flaws in the research model, a differential rule should be used: negative animal study finding should be given no weight but a positive finding of harmful effects may not be dismissed. The EPA considers glyphosate as not likely to be carcinogenic to humans. EPA asserted that there was no convincing evidence that glyphosate induces mutations in vivo via the oral route The mRNA vaccines work like the substances that can cause the second class of personal injuries because they can alter natural biological and cellular processes. First, such a vaccine hijacks the life-sustaining protein synthesis machinery to generate spike protein. While the idea is highly creative but meddles both the life-sustaining machinery and the immune system. Second, due to the inability to control target sites and expression degrees, the mRNA vaccines can reach any cells in any organs and parts to cause inflammation. The undesirable activities infringe natural biochemical and cellular processes. Third, as far as the second and booster shots are concerned, the mRNA vaccines generate very large cytokine storms that are not the kind that would be encountered in nature. When second and booster shots are administrated in cold seasons with COVID-19 outbreaks and other viral infections, the vaccines are predicted to add extra burdens on the vascular systems of recipients. When a vaccine is used on a large population, the vaccine must be absolutely safe, this safety requirement cannot be met by relying on flawed findings from deeply flawed researches. A vaccine must be perfect in all aspects, and must not infringe any of the more than 20,000 genes-encoded proteins, and must not add unreasonable burden to vital organs. Refuting vaccine validity requires a showing of only one problem. I have shown so numerous known and potential problems. The problem has been very severe: some vaccine recipients reported that they had become different persons or substantially lost their intellectual capacities. They were sick for days and weeks, and yet such experiences were not part of reported vaccine adverse reaction data. Based on all evidence, I thus conclude that chances of finding vaccine defectiveness is very high or nearly unity, and the chance of seeing them as harmless products is nearly zero. I urge everyone reading this article to think deeply and do not trade your health and life for $100 or a job. Vaccine benefits and risks are questions of science. Thus, vaccine merit is determined by natural law. The approach to discovering scientific truth is different from what is used in legal processes and business. The interference of medicine by legal wills, media, and business practices are responsible for inability to improve medicine. Leading media have failed to report minority s voices against those clearly dangerous vaccines. Few reports have directed to side effects There is no good antiviral drug for the COVID-19 disease The reported incidence/death data clearly show that lifestyle and environment factors are responsible for at least 100 folds differences. On March 13, 2021, the death rate of 1644/mil for the U.S. is much higher than the death rates for many other nations, which are 0.4-120/mil. Even Japan, which has a large number of old people in the population, high population density, with a culture of high work stress, has a death rate of about 67/mil for the entire period. While many factors affect incidence and death rates, I found that lifestyles and cultural factors caused more than ten (10) times differences. The amendable nature of COVID-19 is reflected in many well known facts. I observed that some people get cold and flu routinely, some get them at lower frequencies; and some seldom get them. Even within a family, some members get cold and flu at very low frequencies while other members get them frequently even though they are exposed to the same viruses. The observation also implies that one can avoid severe infections and death by using life skills and proper mitigating remedies. The temperature s effect was reflected in the incidence patterns for each of most nations incidence data In contrast, reported vaccine benefits Since vaccines work through the immune system, a rational strategy is to use measures to boost human immune systems. Failure to take any of many measures will diminish the apparent benefits of vaccines. Societies have not used overwhelming factors that can improve human immune systems. Those factors include body temperature management, selection foods, environment factors, etc. I found that a good number of infections have been caused by misused pandemic measures. From TV news, on-line stories and personal observations, I found that this 6 feet social distancing rule is frequently misused, resulting in more new infections and deaths. By enforcing the 6 feet distance, stories or building owners must limit the number of people. They need extra people to enforce the rule by reducing cashiers for checking out. So, most stories close all side doors, back-doors in order to track the number of people in stories. Wrong measures include using inefficient check-out methods, forcing customers to stand in lineups in rain, cold wind, and snow, using fewer cashiers, etc. Those measures dramatically increase check-out time. I even saw that people stood in chilly weather with only little clothing or just T shirts. What those measures have achieved are dramatically increased exposure time, raised viral concentration inside store buildings, and crippled customers immune systems. Air quality, exposure time, and body health condition determine whether the virus can infect and how severe the disease will be, but 6-feet or the number of people are only speculative parameters that may work in limited situations but not in most situations. Both air quality and exposure time have proportional effects, but personal distance does not. What they should do is improving building ventilation, asking customers to move fast, speeding up check out process, protecting customer health, etc. If a building has too many occupants, a right approach is asking customers to come back later. Most of predicted side effects have appeared or been reported or observed in self reported stories. If a harmful effect in a vital organ or body part is seem in one person, this same effect must happen to all recipients by various degrees. The inability to find all cases are due to use of symptoms-based method, insufficient time for materialization of acute and latent personal injuries, and effects of interference effects. The evidence of uncontrollable distribution of mRNA is beyond dispute. In pharmacokinetics data provided by Pfizer to European Medicines Agency (EMA), BNT162b2 biodistribution was studied in mice and rats by intra-muscular injection with radiolabeled LNP and luciferase modRNA. It was inferred that modRNA was present in most tissues from the first time point (0.25 h), and results showed that the injection site and the liver were the major sites of distribution, with maximum concentrations observed at 8-48 h post-dose Seneff et al. predicted health risks for mRNA vaccines by using conventional approach The uncontrollable distribution of mRNA is explanatory of the large number of side effects. Many of the predicted damage are materialized: heart damages Protein synthesis is particularly important in heart, liver, brain and other vital organs. A relatively higher concentration of mRNA has been found in the liver. The liver plays the major role in synthesizing proteins that are secreted into the blood, including major plasma proteins, factors in hemostasis and fibrinolysis, carrier proteins, hormones, prohormones and apolipoprotein. Transcriptome analysis shows that 68% (n=13672) of all human proteins (n=20090) are expressed in the liver and 981 of these genes show an elevated expression in the liver compared to other tissue types One type of damages caused by mRNA vaccines to the liver is immune-mediated. A mRNA vaccine turns the protein synthesis machinery into a spike protein production site. The kinetics of vaccination is very unfavorable to the liver: the massive number of mRNA is dumped into the blood stream instantly and a large portion of them find their ways to liver cells. Since the liver normally has great functional capacities, it may quickly recover from the first vaccine shot. The second and booster shots strike the person subsequently. Additional vaccinations are bad for the liver: when the immune system has been activated against spike protein, a second shot introduces another tens of billions of mRNA particles. Now, it is clear why fatigue and weakness are felt in more than 70% vaccine recipients. The CDC data is only statistical number, but one cannot understand the vaccines impacts without experiencing sickness and weakness. In normal SARS-Cov-2 infection, the liver is not the primary target and the natural infection follows a nothing-to-all course. Due to immune response, the virus may reach the liver with sufficient significance only in rare cases. Most vaccine recipients will not feel any signs of liver injury if they have very large liver functional capacities. The real danger appears on the recipients who have poorer liver Concerning possible insertional DNA mutation, I had predicted that it is possible based on the known reversibility of biological reactions and the fact that cellular structural barriers are imperfect. Moreover, prediction of insertional mutation cannot be based on conclusions of clinical trials. A new study presents evidence that BNT162b2 can quickly enter the Huh7 liver cells and cause subsequent intracellular reverse transcription of BNT162b2 mRNA into DNA It is reported that SARS-CoV-2 RNAs can also be reverse-transcribed and integrated into the genome of human cells Three concepts: disease risk, effectiveness rate, and morbidity reduction (or adjusted rate ratio), are deeply flawed for a large number of reasons In FIGURE 7 shows vaccine benefits and risks for a population based on limiting functional capacities. Limiting vital functional capacity is the capacity of the major vital organ that will determine if life can be maintained ( limiting may be omitted below). It is not necessarily a property that can be measured, but may mean a major biological function or an elementary biological function that could ultimately limit the function of heart, lungs, liver, kidneys and brain by any known or unknown mechanism. Insufficient limiting vital functional capacities would trigger ultimate vascular failure or death. The top black line with an arrow shows a relative scale of the vital functional capacities. The left axis (in a nonlinear scale) shows vital functional capacities for a population. The lowest point is for persons with lowest vital functional capacities (near death threshold) and the highest point is for those with the largest vital functional capacities or 100%. The distance between any two points on the left axis represents the number of persons or frequency of persons with vital functional capacities represented by correspondent point of FC. The vital functional capacities for different persons in a population are shown by the line FC relative to the solid red line or death threshold. The parallel black solid line represents disability threshold. The right diagram shows relative benefits and risks of the mRNA vaccine: Solid red color means severe adverse effects, green color means short-term benefits, and pink color means non-detectable acute bodily injuries and latent side effects. Persons below P1 have near zero surplus functional capacities and could die immediately. Vaccination in those persons cause imminent death. A small number of persons falling between P1-P2 have low functional capacities. Vaccination may deliver short-term benefits in some of them, as indicated by green color; but may deliver side affects or cause death in others, depending on life activities, infection, lifestyle factors, and luck. If life activities, infection and vaccine impose a burden which is larger than FC, the person may die. If the total burden is smaller than FC, the person survives. In some situations, a person may die from the burden caused by COVID- 19 disease, but vaccination would have prevented the death by its short-lasting activated immune system. Whether a vaccination can actually prevent a death would depend on a large number of other factors. mRNA vaccines may deliver benefits for a small number of people in the population in a limited number of circumstances. Persons between P2 and P3 are healthy persons who have large or very large FC. Those people, particularly those nearly 100% side, can survive COVID-19 disease without leaving disabilities in nearly all circumstances. For those persons, the vaccine can only have negative long-term side effects. The vaccines may deliver the benefits of preventing death or disability only in rare circumstances, where the person is stricken by several adverse factors like exposure to severe low temperature, inhaling a large number of viral particles, engaging in intensive exercise in a wrong time, and being in extremely fatigue. The pink area represents the largest area. Vaccinations are expected to cause FC to shift to lower values (RFC). This effect would be same as shortening vaccine recipients life spans. When a vaccine causes death to those with very low FC, the vaccine s effect is like cutting off the remainder of lifespans. While the size of persons between P1 and P2 is relatively large, the actual number of persons who could get real benefits is much smaller. The COVID-19 disease does not cause death in some of them and besides there are other preventive measures. Roughly, the benefits-and-risks can be estimated by comparing the red/pink area with the green area. In assessing the benefit-to-risk ratios, the vaccine s effects of reducing infection rate or deaths is NEVER enough. If the vaccine can reduce death rate by 50% in the P1 to P2 region, but cause massive premature deaths in the P2-P3 region, use of the vaccine is a bad measure. In addition, if the vaccine can reduce death rate by X%, one must consider if the same death rate reduction can be achieved by alternative methods, what are future costs to the survived, and whether vaccines endanger others in the population. Current medical research model is good at finding this small green area, ignoring the pink region and write off most of the red region. Using mRNA vaccines as primary COVID-19 pandemic measures is a poor strategy. RNA virus mutates rapidly to evade immune responses I urge governments in all nations to conduct expanded risk analysis before compelling people to use the dangerous vaccines on the population. In making such an analysis, population-based findings cannot be used to preclude alternative pandemic measures and cannot be used to predict the vaccine performance directly. A reliable prediction must go beyond medically recognized risks, consider non-published articles, and must not be confined to common belief. The prediction must made without predetermined biases of any kind. A better and reliable prediction must be based on a combination of methods comprising mechanism studies, personal experiences, animal studies, observed symptoms, personal data from clinical trial studies (but not the conclusion), common sense, and wisdom. In predicting latent effects, one must learn two kinds of standards: a positive adverse effect in animal studies may be extended to humans as substantial evidence, but a negative finding cannot. If governments must use mRNA vaccines, they must let recipients know all risk indicators, known adverse reactions, expected risks, and unknown and unpredictable risks. No-harm findings from short-term clinical trials must be presented with factual evidence to show repeated and consistent failures of such evidence in predicting latent personal injuries and to show the flaws of using symptoms to find injuries. If those facts are not told, people cannot make informed consent to vaccinations.